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It's a frenzy, second-home tax, and some warning signs...



Ever since the housing market has emerged from its pandemic-driven freeze 🄶 in late spring 🌱, there has been a frenzy 🚨 of home buying and a sharp rise ā« in prices. The common explanation is that the pandemic has swollen the ranks of those who need more private space for work šŸ‘” and play šŸŒļøā€ā™‚ļø and safety 😷, typically farther from urban centers 🌃.



State lawmakers āš–ļø are quietly 🤐 reviving plans for an annual tax 🧾 on second homes šŸ˜ in New York City šŸ—½. The reach for revenue goes beyond the rarefied condo towers šŸŒ‡ of Manhattan’s Billionaire’s Row, with different taxing methods šŸ’ø for every category of homes owned by part-time šŸ“† residents across the boroughs.



It's hard to imagine šŸ¤” the market turning when, every month, properties are selling for higher ā†—ļø and higher ā†—ļø prices šŸ’µ. It would be rare for a market to plunge ā¬ overnight the way a stock market šŸ“‰ could. It's just not the same. Although we have seen sudden changes in real estate, the following indicators āš ļø can usually be seen weeks šŸ“† in advance:


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As economic uncertainty šŸ¤·ā€ā™€ļø from the pandemic continues to upend expectations for 2020, the tight housing market is a leading indicator šŸ“Š of where Americans šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡ø want to spend šŸ› their money.




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